Discover why options market data suggests a lower crash risk for U.S. stocks than pundit surveys, and how to optimize asset ...

See how utilities and infrastructure stocks are thriving from AI data center demand. Click to learn investment strategies for steady income with closed-end funds.

Forecasting a central scenario for the United States economy in 2026 appears to be a straightforward exercise. But the probability that this baseline forecast would materialize probably does not ...

Discover how tail risk impacts portfolios, why rare financial events matter, and strategies for safeguarding investments against significant, unexpected losses.

TensorFlow Probability is a library for statistical computation and probabilistic modeling built on top of TensorFlow. Its building blocks include a vast range of distributions and invertible ...

This methodological article aims to present the type I Pareto distribution in a clear and illustrative manner for better understanding among social researchers. It also provides R scripts for ...

Life is uncertain. None of us know what is going to happen. We know little of what has happened in the past or is happening now outside our immediate experience. Uncertainty has been called the ...

Abstract: The probability and possibility theories are two particular cases of the more general theory of evidence, and probability distribution and possibility distribution (PD) are two different, ...

Introduction: Infection with liver flukes (Opisthorchis viverrini) is partly attributed to their ability to thrive in sub-basin habitats, causing the intermediate host to remain within the watershed ...

Future events are far from certain in the business world. This is especially true for smaller businesses, which tend to have more volatility than larger organizations, or newer businesses without a ...

Forecasting for any small business involves guesswork. You know your business and its past performance, but you may not be comfortable predicting the future. Using Excel is a great way to perform what ...